Episode 1033: "43-43-1"

2023-02-03

The gang* work through the improbable - but possible - situations that could come out of Alberta's upcoming general election.

PATREON EXCLUSIVE. Corey Hogan and Stephen Carter continue their Alberta 2023 election preview by talking about the improbable - but still very possible scenarios that could play out over the next few months. Could the NDP win an outright majority of the popular vote and still lose the election? Is Danielle Smith going to nationalize the oil industry? Will she be leader at all? Is Drew Barnes about to be the most powerful politician in Alberta? And how long until Stephen Carter buys a Diamond Jubilee medal on eBay? Zain Velji and Annalise Klingbeil, as always, aren't here.

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Transcript

Corey 0:01
I just want to get this fucking over. This is the strip. What?
Corey 0:06
I just want to get this over. This is the strip. We
Carter 0:07
We just set the fucking stage for the fucking show instead of just jumping in it.
Corey 0:13
It's episode 1033. Welcome. It's just me and Stephen. We have no adult supervision. How
Corey 0:18
How is everybody out there doing?
Carter 0:20
Well, it's Thursday night and I'm here with you. Annalise can't be bothered.
Carter 0:24
Zain can't be bothered.
Corey 0:27
literally have two hosts at this point and we can't fucking. we
Carter 0:29
we can't find a fucking like we have to find a third host which sucks everybody
Carter 0:35
everybody everybody's got the 70 like the jubilee medal have you got a jubilee medal i'm sure you got like two at this stage everybody
Corey 0:44
i i would not i would not accept a jubilee medal there was there were some brief conversations and my my staunch republicanism got deeply in the way
Carter 0:53
way there have been no conversations conversations with
Carter 0:55
with me like i i i'm i'm just you know some guy in the bedroom you
Carter 1:00
you know recording a podcast is that a metaphor
Corey 1:06
i i seriously would would never i was never formally offered i would never accept a jubilee medal that
Corey 1:12
that just gives me a rash and like the craziest way you
Corey 1:17
but zane got one zane
Carter 1:18
zane oh you either
Carter 1:19
wouldn't accept one if i was offered one i wouldn't accept it i haven't been off
Corey 1:23
off you're a principled republican republican yeah
Carter 1:25
yeah i've changed my mind about the monarchy entirely
Carter 1:29
did you see that zane's baby that has done sweet fuck all got a medal too not i think his baby got one too yeah can
Corey 1:36
can we talk about zane's medal for a minute here okay
Carter 1:38
okay i think we should does
Corey 1:39
does it mean anything to get the queen's jubilee medal when you're the son-in-law to the lieutenant governor like that feels a lot like nepotism doesn't it
Carter 1:46
it is nepotism for sure and
Carter 1:48
and he you know
Carter 1:48
know i think that he he was comfortable with that which made it even worse you
Corey 1:54
yeah Yeah. Now, to be fair, he's like incredibly
Corey 1:56
incredibly civic minded chair of multiple boards, community volunteer, blah,
Corey 2:02
But also kind of like, does he deserve it as much as you? I don't know. I mean, you are a mediocre white man. I know.
Carter 2:09
he kept saying, you know, the white guys have held this over me for so long. And I was like, what the fuck are you even talking about?
Carter 2:15
I didn't hold it over you.
Carter 2:17
I would have given him what I would have given him part of mine.
Carter 2:21
want to thank them in my speech. speech
Carter 2:23
do they get to make speeches just i
Corey 2:25
don't know i i don't know would you go to one of those would you go to like an installation ceremony for this well i mean hey congratulations to anybody out there who's won one of those anybody
Carter 2:34
anybody out there every single one of our listeners has one of those things every
Carter 2:38
every single one everybody
Carter 2:43
my whole social media feed is
Carter 2:45
is every is someone getting a medal i
Carter 2:47
got a medal today you know good for you sergeant
Corey 2:50
sergeant super interesting interesting because it sort of implies that you're hanging out with people that are a lot better than you i'm
Carter 2:55
hanging out with them i'm looking at them in social media
Carter 2:59
if i was at least hanging out with them i'd be like oh well i know i know people that have this metal all i have i'm hanging out with is you and you're like i would never and i don't have one of those
Corey 3:09
yeah i don't have those metals hey listen so um we did want to talk about a few things today besides us griping about our lack of well you griping
Carter 3:19
and you want to are Are we ranking things?
Carter 3:22
Are we ranking Annalise versus Zane on
Carter 3:25
on a number of criteria?
Corey 3:27
I mean, that's very short. Yeah.
Corey 3:32
We're going to talk about Alberta. Oh. This is, in many ways, an extension of our 2023 election preview we did a couple of weeks back. You and me. It was a good show. Back in the good old days.
Corey 3:44
Yeah, it was a good show.
Carter 3:45
show. Back before Annalise. People
Corey 3:46
People should run the tape on it. Before
Carter 3:47
Before Annalise felt secure enough to say no to us. It didn't
Carter 3:52
didn't take very long.
Corey 3:54
No, no. She really embraced that Zane Velgey attitude quickly.
Corey 3:58
Might be us, actually. You know, it's like the old adage of, you
Corey 4:01
you know, there's a joke about the guy who's driving down the road and his wife calls and says, Bill, Bill, you got to get off the road. I just saw on the news there's some lunatic driving the wrong way down the highway. And he replies, it's so much worse than you think. Everybody's driving the wrong way on the highway.
Carter 4:20
Yeah, it could be us. Might
Carter 4:22
us. Might be us. You
Carter 4:23
You know what? That's upsetting.
Corey 4:26
So the thing about Alberta.
Corey 4:27
The reason why we need an addendum to the addendum. We've got to go to the election special and we've got to go beyond it here. And this
Corey 4:35
this comes out of all sorts of conversations, some listener questions, just some general observations. It does feel like the rule of Alberta politics since at least 2015 has been that the
Corey 4:46
weirdest thing is pretty much guaranteed to happen, maybe arguably even like 2012 or earlier,
Corey 4:51
Well, you know, just since 2015, we've had an NDP victory, which, look, demographics were moving that way for the province, but definitely
Corey 4:58
definitely felt like it was at least 10 years ahead of schedule at the time.
Carter 5:01
Oh, for sure. Right?
Corey 5:04
We had Prentice resigning. We had Prentice dying. We had best summers ever. we turned off the taps or we threatened to yeah
Corey 5:11
we had conservatives chewing through leaders and replacing them like wads of bazooka joe gum i
Corey 5:17
it's been it's been a ride right so tonight
Corey 5:21
want to talk about the things that might happen the things that could happen right like we're not going to talk about like crazy
Corey 5:30
crazy things that will never happen and we're not going going to talk about things that are you know are just like kind of dull and you know there's a probability of you know
Carter 5:39
know yeah so we're not going to say like we want to talk
Carter 5:41
about the ucp could win calgary like
Carter 5:43
like it's not we're not doing yeah
Corey 5:45
that's not shocking yeah
Corey 5:49
that's a coin toss depending on the pollster you look at whether
Corey 5:51
it's think hq or i guess there's a private janet brown poll it says otherwise go subscribe yeah
Carter 5:56
yeah you know what i also don't get active janet brown's stuff so what do you know well
Corey 6:00
well you got to pay for things to get thing pay for things we are literally doing a patreon special right now you need to pay
Corey 6:10
dog that dog of yours the
Carter 6:11
the dog swing yeah
Corey 6:13
well yeah because you're yelling you're you're just a guy who's young no
Carter 6:16
no so he wants to he wants to play with bentley things have really gotten out of hand in my house you
Carter 6:21
have no idea good
Corey 6:25
we have both made lists i've made a list of eight things you've made a list of five things things
Corey 6:29
things that You don't have
Carter 6:30
to let them in like behind the scenes. Like we're each going to do five, right? And you think that there's going to be duplications.
Corey 6:38
So I did a few more. And
Carter 6:39
And I know that mine are going to be unique. Like mine are really good.
Corey 6:43
So I've ordered mine in like increasing order of what I think is improbable, but still all possible. Oh. And here's what we're going to do.
Corey 6:52
We are going to drop our prediction. And prediction is not the right word. We're going to drop the scenario, right?
Corey 6:59
We're going to get a reaction. and then we're going to show our work we're going to explain why we think this could possibly happen okay and
Corey 7:06
and then we're going to move on and at the end of this all we're
Corey 7:10
we're going to choose who won and since there's only two of us i think um one
Carter 7:13
one of us that's
Corey 7:13
that's going to be tricky yeah
Carter 7:14
but hang on a second it's going to be like that uh that episode we did with the speaker nominations where until we have you know people people
Corey 7:23
people love that one yeah let's remind people of that episode that
Carter 7:26
that was why why you're paying really
Carter 7:30
really unbelievably few cancellations after that like none can i tell you something
Corey 7:35
something there were there that
Corey 7:37
was by we had people being like oh my god you got to try harder you know how much effort went into that relative to the average one where we just hit record and then stop yeah
Carter 7:47
so in the order that can can i can i come on back to this are we talking about the The things that we most think are likely first or
Corey 7:57
So I'm doing the ones that I think are most likely first. Okay,
Carter 8:00
Okay, okay, I got you. And
Corey 8:01
And the first couple are not even like, they're not going to melt your brain, right? They're just, they're things that would be really wild
Corey 8:09
and have kind of spin on crazy down the road as a result. Do
Carter 8:12
Do you want me to go first? Do you want to go first?
Corey 8:15
Yeah, you go first, you go first.
Carter 8:17
I'm going to go with the absolute thing that i that i absolutely believe is going to happen one
Carter 8:25
just one candidate in this election will
Carter 8:27
will be forced to resign for
Carter 8:29
for having shared a dick pic inappropriately
Corey 8:35
i mean always possible i
Carter 8:38
it's more than please show
Corey 8:40
yeah show you why do you think this is okay number
Carter 8:43
number one candidates are getting younger number
Carter 8:46
number two i'm told and i'm I'm not, because I'm not part of this. I'm assuming someone your age is definitely a part of this. But there's like an epidemic of dick pics in the universe, right? And number three, we haven't had one in Alberta, right?
Carter 9:01
right? There's been other places where you can, and I made a prediction quite some time ago that at some point we were going to have the first candidate with nudes that was running, right? That would have some sort of public nudes, right? We've had it with a judge. we've had it with candidates we you know like people
Carter 9:20
are sharing more and more of this i think it'll be a dick pic because that's more fun um but i think you know these things are these things are more coming more prevalent and i would love to see part of me wants to see how we respond to it as a society is this immediately
Carter 9:41
right what if it's an what if it's a nude from a female candidate right is that disqualifying because i'm not sure in today's society that we still have that same overlay of what's disqualifying what's not disqualifying and i i'm part of me is like curious so i think that i do think that this is of the strange things that i have this is one of the more likely things to happen just because there's such a prevalence of this type of sharing on the internet now yeah

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